The Partnership’s Legislative Action Committee met this week to hear a special post-midterm elections presentation by David Siders, a POLITICO national political correspondent. Siders is a resident of Sierra Madre here in the San Gabriel Valley.
Mr. Siders provided a detailed overview of several broad takeaways from the midterm elections, notably the significant increase in turnout – the highest for a midterm election since 1970. This turnout increase coincided with many younger voters turning out to the polls, along with minority voters who typically vote at lower rates than white voters. This electorate was a challenging one for Republicans across the country, as the GOP lost key voters in suburban districts which lead to the loss of their majority in the House of Representatives along with several governorships. While the Republicans managed to win a few Senate seats in places like Missouri, Indiana, and North Dakota, they lost two previously held GOP seats in Arizona and Nevada. In California, Republicans have now lost five House seats and are on the verge of losing a sixth, in addition to key losses in the State Senate and State Assembly, leaving Democrats with supermajorities in Sacramento.
Mr. Siders turned his attention to the pivotal 2020 presidential election, noting that several major candidates like Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden, and Kamala Harris are already staffing up and preparing to run for president. He emphasized that many candidates will jump into this race from the Democratic side, while it is unlikely that President Trump would face a serious challenge from within his own party. In regards to Trump, this election defeat should show all Republicans – even those few who remain disaffected – that unless they rally around this candidate, their party is unlikely to prevail in future elections.